Universitario Popayán vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 0
UNI
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
REA
2 - 1
UNI
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
AME
27%
29%
43%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 0
REA
55%
23%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 3
BUC
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 1
ALI
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BUC
0 - 1
AME
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
CUC
2 - 1
BUC
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |