Universitario Deportes vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
ALI
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 0
UNI
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
COM
56%
26%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 4
UNI
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
AUR
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AYA
2 - 1
COM
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
UTC
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 1
COM
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |