Universitario Deportes vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 0
UNI
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
SPC
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
ANZ
1 - 3
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
ANZ
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
UNI
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
COM
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
AGU
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
GAR
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
COM
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HUA
3 - 0
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |