Perú - Final Stages . Final
Global 2-3
Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
BIN
0 - 2
UNI
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 2
FCS
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 3
SAM
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 6
UTC
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AYA
1 - 4
SPC
29%
23%
48%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
SPC
2 - 1
AYA
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 1
AYA
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SPC
3 - 2
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
UTC
1 - 1
SPC
25%
24%
52%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |