Universitario de Deportes vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
62.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
CAN
3 - 1
UNI
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPC
30%
23%
46%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
PAL
10%
24%
66%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 2
DYJ
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 2
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 2
PAL
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |