Universitario Deportes vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
AUR
0 - 0
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
GAR
40%
27%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UTC
2 - 1
UNI
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 3
DEP
23%
22%
55%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 1
COM
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
UTC
1 - 0
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 2
MUN
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 1
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GAR
1 - 0
MUN
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |