Universitario Deportes vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
GAR
2 - 0
UNI
51%
26%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
6 - 0
UTC
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
BSC
0 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BIN
1 - 3
UNI
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
4 - 1
MEL
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 2
EME
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 2
IVT
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
IVT
2 - 2
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
IVT
2 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 3
IVT
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |