Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ALI
3 - 0
UNI
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2007 |
UNI
4 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
MUN
2 - 1
UNI
37%
29%
33%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
TOT
1 - 2
UNI
47%
28%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
4 - 0
ALI
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ALI
2 - 1
CIE
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 2
NEC
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
ALI
4 - 1
SAM
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |