Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Vinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
STR
3 - 2
UDV
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
UDV
2 - 2
BLO
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
UDV
0 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
DRT
4 - 0
UDV
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
REA
3 - 0
UDV
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 1
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
AUR
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
IND
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
STR
4 - 0
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CMV
1 - 2
AUR
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |