Univ. San Martín vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 1
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 4
SAM
27%
28%
46%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
HUA
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
SAM
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CNI
0 - 2
SAM
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
ALI
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
AYA
0 - 0
AUR
41%
30%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 0
TOT
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 2
MEL
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 1
AUR
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |