Univ. San Martín vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 0
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
UTC
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAM
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 0
SAM
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 2
AUR
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 2
CIE
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CIE
3 - 1
MUN
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
CIE
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 3
MEL
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |