Primera Clausura Jor. 15

Universidad San Carlos vs Mixco analysis

Universidad San Carlos Mixco
50 ELO 41
9.8% Tilt -5.7%
3992º General ELO ranking 2104º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
72.9%
Universidad San Carlos
16.8%
Draw
10.4%
Mixco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
Universidad San Carlos
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.4%
Win probability
Mixco
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Universidad San Carlos
+76%
+5%
Mixco

ELO progression

Universidad San Carlos
Mixco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Universidad San Carlos
Universidad San Carlos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2017
DSA
Deportivo Sanarate
1 - 0
Universidad San Carlos
UNI
41%
26%
33%
51 48 3 0
25 Mar. 2017
UNI
Universidad San Carlos
3 - 1
Deportivo Jocotán
DEP
53%
24%
23%
50 49 1 +1
19 Mar. 2017
QUI
Quirigua
1 - 0
Universidad San Carlos
UNI
22%
24%
54%
50 37 13 0
11 Mar. 2017
UNI
Universidad San Carlos
0 - 1
Aurora FC
AUR
63%
21%
16%
52 47 5 -2
04 Mar. 2017
UNI
Universidad San Carlos
4 - 0
Sayaxché
SAY
71%
17%
12%
51 40 11 +1

Matches

Mixco
Mixco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2017
MIX
Mixco
2 - 2
Deportivo Jocotán
DEP
27%
26%
47%
41 49 8 0
02 Apr. 2017
QUI
Quirigua
2 - 1
Mixco
MIX
43%
25%
32%
42 37 5 -1
26 Mar. 2017
MIX
Mixco
3 - 0
Aurora FC
AUR
23%
26%
51%
38 49 11 +4
19 Mar. 2017
SAY
Sayaxché
2 - 1
Mixco
MIX
44%
26%
30%
39 38 1 -1
12 Mar. 2017
MIX
Mixco
0 - 2
Comunicaciones II
COM
39%
27%
34%
41 45 4 -2
X