Universidad San Carlos vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 2
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
ANT
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
ANT
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 0
COM
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 4
LEO
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 0
DEP
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
COB
2 - 1
LEO
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |