Leones Negros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2020 |
LEO
4 - 1
UDG
82%
13%
6%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
UDG
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
UDG
1 - 5
AME
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
UDG
3 - 0
DOR
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
UDG
0 - 1
CAÑ
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 2
CAÑ
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CAÑ
1 - 3
ALE
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 1
TOR
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 1
ALE
33%
29%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 0
TOR
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |