Leones Negros vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 0
UDG
34%
28%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
UDG
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
UDG
0 - 2
TOR
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 2
UDG
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
UDG
2 - 2
ATL
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 0
UDG
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
MER
4 - 2
TEM
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAF
3 - 0
MER
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
CIM
1 - 1
MER
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
CAN
74%
18%
9%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | -1 |