Leones Negros vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
UDG
0 - 1
CHI
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDG
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
UDG
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
UDG
1 - 0
MER
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
UDG
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 0
DEL
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
UAT
2 - 1
CAZ
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CAZ
3 - 1
BAL
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
DOR
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |