Leones Negros vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
UDG
0 - 3
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
UAT
0 - 2
UDG
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 1
MER
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SPT
2 - 0
UDG
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
UDG
0 - 1
DOR
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
CIM
2 - 0
DOR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SPT
0 - 0
CIM
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
CIM
2 - 1
MOR
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MER
2 - 2
CIM
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CIM
2 - 2
TOR
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |