Univ de Chile vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
HUA
0 - 3
UCH
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
5 - 0
UCH
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
UCH
0 - 2
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
EME
0 - 1
UCH
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCO
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
CSD
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 2
NUB
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
UCO
7%
14%
79%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |