Univ de Chile vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCH
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
FEN
0 - 0
UCH
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 1
COB
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
UCH
1 - 0
FEN
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 1
IQU
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
COL
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 1
HUA
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |