Univ de Chile vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 3
UCH
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 2
UCH
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
UCH
3 - 1
COB
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
UCH
4 - 1
CDM
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 4
UCH
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
PAL
3 - 1
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
UCO
4 - 1
CDP
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |