Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Univ de Chile vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
COB
0 - 2
UCH
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
UCH
1 - 1
LIB
56%
22%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
UCH
4 - 0
HUA
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
UCH
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
COB
0 - 2
UCH
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
COB
1 - 2
UNI
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SWA
1 - 3
COB
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
COB
1 - 0
PAL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
USF
0 - 3
COB
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |