Univ. César Vallejo vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
BIN
3 - 0
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
VAL
14%
25%
61%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 0
FCS
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 1
VAL
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
ALI
41%
28%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 1
SAM
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 4
MUN
32%
24%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 0
CAN
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
4 - 1
MUN
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 2
UTC
34%
28%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |