Peru Second Division Final

Global 4-2

Univ. César Vallejo vs CA Mannucci analysis

Univ. César Vallejo CA Mannucci
72 ELO 65
15.7% Tilt 3.4%
1407º General ELO ranking 1862º
14º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
59.2%
Univ. César Vallejo
22.2%
Draw
18.6%
CA Mannucci

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
Univ. César Vallejo
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.6%
Win probability
CA Mannucci
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Univ. César Vallejo
-17%
-3%
CA Mannucci

ELO progression

Univ. César Vallejo
CA Mannucci
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Univ. César Vallejo
Univ. César Vallejo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2018
MAN
CA Mannucci
1 - 1
Univ. César Vallejo
VAL
46%
24%
30%
72 67 5 0
18 Nov. 2018
VAL
Univ. César Vallejo
2 - 0
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
AUR
60%
21%
20%
72 66 6 0
11 Nov. 2018
AUR
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
3 - 1
Univ. César Vallejo
VAL
27%
26%
47%
74 64 10 -2
28 Oct. 2018
VAL
Univ. César Vallejo
1 - 1
CA Mannucci
MAN
62%
21%
17%
75 69 6 -1
21 Oct. 2018
WIL
Willy Serrato
0 - 3
Univ. César Vallejo
VAL
12%
21%
67%
75 45 30 0

Matches

CA Mannucci
CA Mannucci
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2018
MAN
CA Mannucci
1 - 1
Univ. César Vallejo
VAL
46%
24%
30%
67 72 5 0
18 Nov. 2018
MAN
CA Mannucci
5 - 2
Cienciano
CIE
45%
24%
32%
67 70 3 0
11 Nov. 2018
CIE
Cienciano
2 - 0
CA Mannucci
MAN
52%
24%
24%
68 69 1 -1
04 Nov. 2018
MAN
CA Mannucci
5 - 2
Atlético Grau
AGP
59%
22%
19%
68 66 2 0
01 Nov. 2018
AGP
Atlético Grau
1 - 1
CA Mannucci
MAN
51%
26%
23%
69 67 2 -1