Univ. César Vallejo vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
VAL
0 - 2
BOL
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2005 |
CAU
2 - 2
VAL
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
VAL
3 - 0
UNI
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
CIE
3 - 0
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
CAU
0 - 1
ALI
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2005 |
CIE
3 - 1
ALI
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 0
UNI
52%
26%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |