Universidad Católica vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UCE
1 - 0
QUI
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
IVT
4 - 0
UCE
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LOJ
1 - 2
UCE
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
UCE
2 - 5
EME
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
UCE
4 - 1
LOJ
45%
25%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 1
LOJ
34%
28%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LDU
5 - 1
MUS
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 1
LDU
48%
31%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MUS
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
MUS
2 - 0
UCE
44%
29%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |