Univ. Queensland vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 5
WOL
9%
16%
75%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 0
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
EAS
0 - 0
UNI
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
OLY
13%
17%
71%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CAP
4 - 1
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 1
PEN
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
OLY
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAP
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 3
PEN
9%
17%
74%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
TAR
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |