Univ. Queensland vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
4 - 1
UNI
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
OLY
2 - 1
UNI
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
TAR
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BRI
3 - 1
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
PEN
4 - 1
RED
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 4
BRI
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
WOL
1 - 1
PEN
73%
16%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAP
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
PIN
2 - 5
PEN
16%
19%
65%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |