Univ. Queensland vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
55.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 2
UNI
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 2
PEN
6%
14%
80%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | +5 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 4
PEN
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ALB
5 - 1
UNI
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOG
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LOG
1 - 0
IPS
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 3
LOG
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
WOL
2 - 2
LOG
73%
15%
13%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LOG
0 - 0
MIT
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOG
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |