Univ. Queensland vs Ipswich Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
57.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
CAP
3 - 0
UNI
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
UNI
6 - 0
TAR
14%
19%
68%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
WOL
3 - 2
UNI
91%
7%
2%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
MIT
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
IPS
0 - 2
ALB
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 4
IPS
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
IPS
0 - 2
EAS
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
QUE
4 - 0
IPS
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 3
IPS
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |