Univ. Queensland vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
71%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 1
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 4
WOL
6%
12%
82%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
BRI
27%
22%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
LOG
3 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
ROC
8%
13%
79%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 0
ALB
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LOG
4 - 1
CAP
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 3
IPS
63%
18%
18%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 0
CAP
13%
17%
69%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CAP
5 - 1
ALB
72%
16%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |