Univ. Concepción vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 0
USF
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 2
UCO
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCO
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 2
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
UCH
0 - 2
PAL
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCH
47%
24%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
UCH
1 - 4
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ACS
0 - 3
UCH
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
UCH
4 - 0
CSL
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |