Univ. Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 2
HUA
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 1
CSL
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
UCO
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
DLS
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
UCH
4 - 3
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 3
NUB
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |