Univ. Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
72%
17%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 2
CSL
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
UCO
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
0 - 0
HUA
18%
23%
58%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
DEP
0 - 1
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 2
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
4 - 2
UNI
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
USF
2 - 2
UNI
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 3
ACS
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CSL
5 - 1
UNI
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |