Univ. Concepción vs Santiago Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
7º
16º
11º
38
5º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 56% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 2
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
UCO
0 - 0
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
UCO
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 1
USF
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 2
ANT
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SWA
2 - 2
CUR
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SWA
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
SWA
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SJF
1 - 2
SWA
5%
12%
83%
|
66 | 9 | 57 | 0 |