Copa Chile Last 16
Global 0-2
Univ. Concepción vs San Luis de Quillota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
IQU
0 - 2
UCO
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UCH
3 - 1
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BOL
3 - 0
UCO
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 2
EVE
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 0
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
HUA
34%
26%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 4
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 4
UCH
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
EVE
1 - 1
SAN
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |