Univ. Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ULC
0 - 0
UCO
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
EVE
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
NTA
1 - 2
UCO
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
EVE
4 - 3
UCO
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 0
CDM
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
CDM
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
OHI
2 - 2
PUE
60%
21%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ANT
1 - 0
PUE
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
CDM
2 - 0
PUE
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
PUE
0 - 0
NTA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |