Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 2
DLS
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
IQU
4 - 0
UCO
40%
26%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
PAL
4 - 2
CUR
60%
22%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
IQU
0 - 2
PAL
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACS
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 1
SWA
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 1
ULC
41%
26%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |