Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
UCH
2 - 1
UCO
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
COQ
1 - 1
UCO
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PAL
3 - 1
COQ
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ANT
3 - 1
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
PAL
3 - 0
SWA
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 0
DEP
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |