Univ. Concepción vs CDS Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
1 - 0
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
NTA
2 - 0
UCO
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 0
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
NTA
1 - 0
DEP
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
1 - 1
NTA
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
NTA
2 - 0
UCO
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
DEP
0 - 2
NTA
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |