Univ. Concepción vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 0
NTA
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
HUA
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
UCO
14%
20%
67%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 3
UCH
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
0 - 0
LOT
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
LOT
2 - 2
NTA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 1
LOT
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
UCO
14%
20%
67%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CSD
3 - 0
LOT
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |