Univ. Concepción vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
COL
0 - 2
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UCO
2 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
OHI
4 - 2
UCO
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
EVE
3 - 2
COL
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
EVE
1 - 0
UNI
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
EVE
1 - 1
UCO
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
EVE
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
EVE
3 - 0
PAL
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |