Univ. Concepción vs Deportes Valdivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
ULC
1 - 2
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 0
SWA
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
IQU
3 - 1
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
VAL
5 - 1
PIN
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
DSC
0 - 1
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 0
SAU
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
0 - 2
VAL
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 0
NTA
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |