Univ. Concepción vs Rangers Talca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
EVE
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 2
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
CON
1 - 2
UCO
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 3
UCH
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
CSD
3 - 0
PUE
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
CON
1 - 1
CSD
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 2
CSD
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
CSD
1 - 3
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
EVE
1 - 3
CSD
55%
23%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |