Univ. Concepción vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
NUB
2 - 0
UCO
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 0
DSC
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 1
CUR
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 2
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CON
2 - 0
DCO
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CON
0 - 0
ACS
22%
23%
54%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
CUR
2 - 3
CON
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CON
3 - 2
PAL
18%
22%
59%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
DSC
2 - 0
CON
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |