Univ. Concepción vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
31%
23%
46%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
UCO
4 - 1
NUB
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
DLS
0 - 0
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 3
ACS
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
UCH
4 - 2
UCO
67%
19%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
31%
23%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
CSD
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CSD
1 - 1
CON
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CON
2 - 1
LOT
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CDP
1 - 1
CON
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |