Univ. Concepción vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 1
HUA
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
4 - 2
DEP
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
QUK
90%
8%
2%
|
70 | 23 | 47 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 0
UCO
16%
21%
63%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
COL
3 - 1
SWA
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
COL
3 - 2
CON
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
LOT
2 - 1
COL
11%
18%
71%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
COL
18%
21%
60%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |