Univ. Concepción vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NUB
3 - 1
UCO
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 3
EVE
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ULC
0 - 2
UCO
35%
27%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CSL
0 - 1
UCO
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CSL
2 - 2
CSD
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 0
CSL
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
CSL
2 - 1
UCH
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
IQU
2 - 0
CSL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |