Univ. Concepción vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 1
UCO
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ULC
1 - 1
UCO
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 2
UNI
38%
26%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CSL
2 - 2
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
6 - 1
CSL
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CSL
1 - 1
USF
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CSL
3 - 3
IQU
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
USF
1 - 1
CSL
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |