Univ. Concepción vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
OHI
3 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
PAL
53%
25%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
ULC
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HUA
2 - 5
UCO
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
NUB
0 - 2
CSL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CSL
3 - 2
SWA
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 1
CSL
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CSL
1 - 0
OHI
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CSL
0 - 2
COL
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |