Univ. Concepción vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
UCO
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 1
EVE
45%
26%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CSL
2 - 1
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CSL
4 - 2
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CSL
1 - 0
SWA
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 2
CSL
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CSL
1 - 2
OHI
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |